Variational Bayes survival analysis for unemployment modelling

نویسندگان

چکیده

Mathematical modelling of unemployment dynamics attempts to predict the probability a job seeker finding as function time. This is typically achieved by using information in records. These records are right censored, making survival analysis suitable approach for parameter estimation. The proposed model uses deep artificial neural network (ANN) non-linear hazard function. Through embedding, high-cardinality categorical features analysed efficiently. posterior distribution ANN parameters estimated variational Bayes method. evaluated on time-to-employment data set spanning from 2011 2020 provided Slovenian public employment service. It used determine over time each individual record. Similar models could be applied other questions with multi-dimensional, including censored Such often encountered personal records, example medical

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Knowledge Based Systems

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1872-7409', '0950-7051']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2021.107335